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I think that its worth the risk personally but you have to be situationally aware. I like to reference the weather.gov page for forecast to read between the lines of TV forecasting. Looks like the current potential is for about 30%. In other words diurnally driven storms, but if you look at the marine forecast discussion you will see that whatever does form is going to be strong. Personally I would leave out super early and try to start thinking about running back in around noon or 1pm.
****I WOULD WATCH THESE FORECAST DISCUSSIONS LIKE A HAWK UP TO THE LAST UPDATE. NOAA UPDATES THERE FORECAST DISCUSSION IN THE MID AFTERNOON AND MID MORNING (4pm and 4am ish).
I am including a screenshot of the hourly forecast from noaa. Also including a copy paste of the current forecast discussion.
The nose of the OH Valley ridge will nudge back into the area to end the week allowing temperatures to rebound some and afternoon PoPs to lower back toward climatology (20-50%) on Thursday and Friday. The main concern if skies remain clear enough would be heat indices approaching 108 degrees which would elevated the risk for heat- related illnesses. By Saturday, the ridge will begin to weaken and move eastward allowing a weakness in mid-level flow and lowering of heights over the area. This could locally enhance afternoon PoPs once more over the weekend with more scattered to numerous storms on Sunday especially as a reinforcing weak shortwave moves down across the lower Mississippi Valley. Looking ahead, the longwave pattern within the global ensemble guidance continues to suggest the potential for a larger mid-upper ridge setting up over the west-central CONUS and favoring troughing and west-northwest flow aloft across the southeastern CONUS headed into next week which could bring temperatures down and potentially bring more convective activity into the area by midweek next week.
.MARINE... Issued at 1151 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026 Aside from a weak easterly wave moving through the northern Gulf overnight tonight, the pattern will be dominated by high pressure influences. Winds will generally be 10kts or less and direction will vary through midweek, becoming more predominantly southerly as high pressure builds over the eastern Gulf late in the week. Generally isolated to scattered showers and storms can be expected each day, with potential for more numerous/widespread convection on Wednesday associated with the easterly wave. A few stronger storms could produce gusty winds and/or waterspouts, and locally hazardous seas during the second half of the work week.
