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The rain may be spotty so I think you could potentially avoid it. But I agree, the waves are 3-4 feet Saturday and 2-3 foot Sunday in the lake. Bienvenue is an option, you could launch at seabrook and ride out that way, I suspect the bienvenue and Dupre gates will be closed with the east winds.
Have you actually seen Bonnabel crowded? Lol I have never seen more than 2 of the 4 ramps being used. I know they were building the pier at west end, not sure if they finished or not though. But I would not be want to launch at either of them with the wave forecast.
